Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.002402 0.002554 0.002717 0.002905 0.003117 0.003349 0.003626
2024-10-27 0.002154 0.002360 0.002592 0.002877 0.003220 0.003629 0.004162
2024-11-03 0.001898 0.002117 0.002373 0.002698 0.003109 0.003626 0.004351
2024-11-10 0.001799 0.002042 0.002335 0.002723 0.003239 0.003929 0.004979
2024-11-17 0.001729 0.001994 0.002321 0.002769 0.003395 0.004285 0.005758
2024-11-24 0.001645 0.001917 0.002261 0.002747 0.003449 0.004497 0.006368
2024-12-01 0.001601 0.001888 0.002259 0.002799 0.003611 0.004896 0.007414
2024-12-08 0.001542 0.001834 0.002218 0.002788 0.003675 0.005146 0.008269
2024-12-15 0.001477 0.001768 0.002156 0.002742 0.003675 0.005284 0.008944
2024-12-22 0.001453 0.001754 0.002164 0.002798 0.003847 0.005761 0.010635
2024-12-29 0.001426 0.001736 0.002164 0.002841 0.004000 0.006238 0.012662
2025-01-05 0.001377 0.001684 0.002111 0.002797 0.003994 0.006387 0.013820
2025-01-12 0.001311 0.001608 0.002023 0.002695 0.003883 0.006312 0.014275
2025-01-19 0.001275 0.001573 0.001994 0.002688 0.003947 0.006650 0.016684
2025-01-26 0.001203 0.001484 0.001881 0.002535 0.003721 0.006266 0.015688
2025-02-02 0.001182 0.001467 0.001876 0.002560 0.003841 0.006747 0.019395
2025-02-09 0.001168 0.001458 0.001881 0.002603 0.004001 0.007386 0.025666
2025-02-16 0.001139 0.001428 0.001851 0.002584 0.004030 0.007682 0.030776
2025-02-23 0.001127 0.001422 0.001859 0.002630 0.004206 0.008477 0.045990
2025-03-02 0.001103 0.001397 0.001836 0.002621 0.004258 0.008909 0.062664
2025-03-09 0.001074 0.001364 0.001798 0.002579 0.004232 0.009070 0.078160
2025-03-16 0.001066 0.001361 0.001809 0.002630 0.004427 0.010133 0.200340
2025-03-23 0.001056 0.001355 0.001814 0.002668 0.004600 0.011242 4.669755